The Power of Goals.
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Thursday, 31 March 2016
Adding Up Expected Goals Models, One Bit At A Time.
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So we'll start off with a really basic shot location model that just uses how far in yards the shot is taken from the centre of the goal...
Wednesday, 30 March 2016
Good Model, Bad Model.
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This may be my last expected goals post for a while, so I thought I'd look at a couple of slightly flawed ways to try to estimate how go...
Sunday, 6 March 2016
"Martinez Blows Most Dangerous of Leads"!
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Human interpretation of sporting events is often awash with cognitive biases. It is virtually impossible to become totally free of these i...
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