The Power of Goals.

Shot based expected goals models can tell us a lot about a match by extending the sample size from around three for actual goals to well int...

First there was xG, ExpG, expected goals, chance quality or whatever you wished to call it. Then we simulated the shooting contest to crea...

I've previously written about non shot based models as an alternative to purely shot based xG, as well as a way of incorporating the 90+...