Expected Points Graphs for EPL Games,December 3rd 2011.

At any point in a game a team will have a probability of winning the game outright and an associated probability of drawing the game.By multiplying the probability of winning the game by 3 and the probability of drawing by 1 and adding the results together you will get an expected longterm average for the number of points that team will achieve from that position or Expected Points (EP) for short.


Aston Villa 0 Manchester United 1.

Scorers:
0-1,Jones,20'

Manchester City 5 Norwich 1.

Scorers:
1-0,Aguero,32'
2-0,Nasri,51'
3-0,Toure,68,
3-1,Morison,81.
4-1,Balotelli,88'
5-1,Johnson,90'

Blackburn 4 Swansea 2.

Scorers:
1-0,Yakubu,20'
1-1,Lita,35'
2-1,Yakubu,45'
3-1,Yakubu,57'
3-2,Moore,66'
Red Card,Allen(Swansea),81'
4-2,Yakubu(pen),82'

QPR 1 WBA 1. 

Scorers:
1-0,Helguson,20'
1-1,Long,81'

Tottenham 3 Bolton 0.

Scorers:
1-0,Bale,7'
Red Card,Cahill(Bolton),18'
2-0,Lennon,50'
3-0,Defoe,60'

Newcastle 0 Chelsea 3.

Scorers:
0-0,Penalty awarded to Chelsea,13'
0-0,Penalty Missed,Lampard,14'
0-1,Drogba,38'
0-2,Kalou,89'
0-3,Sturridge,90'

Wigan 0 Arsenal 4.

Scorers:
0-1,Arteta,28'
0-2,Vermaelen,29'
0-3,Gervinho,61'
0-4,van Persie,79'