Expected Points Graphs for Blackburn and Sunderland's Improbable Wins.

The win probability for each team is tracked on a minute by minute basis throughout each game.At any point in a game a team will have a probability of winning the game outright and an associated probability of drawing the game.By multiplying the probability of winning the game by 3 and the probability of drawing by 1 and adding the results together you will get an expected longterm average for the number of points that team will achieve from that position or Expected Points (EP) for short.


Manchester United 2 Blackburn 3.

Scorers:
0-1,Yakubu(pen),16'
0-2,Yakubu,51'
1-2,Berbatov,52'
2-2,Berbatov,62'
2-3,Hanley,81'

Sunderland 1 Man.City 0.

Scorer:
1-0,Ji,90+3'