Scenarios Whereby Manchester City Win the Title.
| Points Gained by Manchester City. | Points Gained by Manchester United. | Probability for this Scenario. | Seasonal Man City Points Total. | Seasonal Man Utd Points Total. |
| 3 | 0 | 0.12 | 89 | 86 |
| 3 | 1 | 0.18 | 89 | 87 |
| 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 87 | 86 |
| 3 | 3 | 0.53 | 89 | 89 |
| 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 87 | 87 |
| 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 86 | 86 |
| Cumulative Probability. | 0.88 |
Scenarios Whereby Manchester United Win the Title.
| Points Gained by Manchester City. | Points Gained by Manchester United. | Probability for this Scenario. | Seasonal Man City Points Total. | Seasonal Man Utd Points Total. |
| 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 86 | 87 |
| 1 | 3 | 0.08 | 87 | 89 |
| 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 86 | 89 |
| Cumulative Probability. | 0.12 |
What about the probability of Manu winning the title on goal difference? Would be a very small and unlikely chance, but still a probability nonetheless
ReplyDeleteIn the region of >1000/1.i don't think Simon Mignolet was born in Salford:-).
ReplyDeleteMark
so if city win 1-0 and Manu wins 10-0, Manu are champs even though city beat them 2x? Head to head should be the first tiebreaker, screw goal differential.
ReplyDelete